Short selling

Reading for India · about 10 min

The answer

Short selling means selling a share you do not own, in the expectation of buying it back cheaper. Your profit is the difference. Your loss has no ceiling, because there is no limit to how high a price can go.

Why this costs you money

Every other position you take has a floor. A share you bought for ₹500 can fall to zero. That is the worst case and you can calculate it in advance.

A short position has no such number. You sold at ₹500. If the price goes to ₹2,000, you have lost ₹1,500 per share, and there is no arithmetic that caps it.

That asymmetry produces 3 ways to lose money that do not exist anywhere else.

The deadline. A long position can be held indefinitely. A short position cannot. In India a retail short in the cash market must generally be closed the same day. Even where borrowing extends the period, the lender can want the shares back. You can be right about the direction and still be closed out first.

The cost of carrying it. Borrowing has a fee, and in a stock many people want to short, the fee can be very large. Being right slowly is expensive in a way that a long position never is.

The squeeze. When a heavily shorted stock starts rising, every short seller needs to buy to close. Their buying pushes the price up, which forces more of them to buy. The people who lose most are often not the people who were wrong about the company. They are the ones who were right and could not survive the interval.

How it works

The mechanism has 4 steps.

  1. Borrow. You borrow shares from somebody who owns them, through a lending arrangement.
  2. Sell. You sell the borrowed shares at the current price.
  3. Buy back. Later, you buy the same number of shares.
  4. Return. You return them to the lender and keep the difference.

Two things are true throughout. You owe shares, not money, so your obligation grows when the price rises. And you pay a borrowing fee for every day you hold.

Naked short selling means selling without having borrowed or arranged to borrow. It is prohibited in India and constrained in the United States. If you cannot deliver, the buyer on the other side does not get the shares they paid for.

Margin works differently on a short. On a long position the amount you can lose is fixed, so the margin requirement is stable. On a short it grows as the price rises. A short seller can be forced to add money repeatedly while nothing about their view has changed.

A short squeeze has a mechanical shape. Short interest is high. Something forces buying. The price rises. Short sellers face margin calls. They buy to close. That buying is itself demand. The price rises further. The sequence continues until the shorts are out, and then it usually reverses hard.

What it tells you, and what it does not

A high level of short interest tells you that a number of people have taken a position against the company. It does not tell you they are right.

It does tell you something about the mechanics of the stock. A heavily shorted share carries built-in future buying, because every short must eventually buy. That is why heavily shorted shares sometimes rise violently on modest good news.

Short interest does not tell you the reason for the position. Many short positions are not directional bets at all. They are the second leg of a hedge, or part of an arbitrage between a share and a derivative on it. Reading all short interest as a negative opinion about the company is a common error.

The decision rule

Do not short until you can answer all 4 of these, in writing.

  1. What is my maximum loss, and can I survive it? If the honest answer to

the first half is "unlimited", the position must be small enough that a 3-times move does not end you.

  1. What is my deadline? Same-day, or the end of a borrow, or a margin

call. There is always one.

  1. What does it cost per day to hold? Borrowing fee plus margin. If the

fee is high, that is the market telling you the crowd is already here.

  1. What closes the position, and is it automatic? Know the square-off

time and the margin call threshold before you enter.

And 1 rule that is not negotiable. A short position needs a stop that you will actually honour. The asymmetry means the discipline that a long investor can afford to skip is not optional here.

Try this now

Four minutes. You are going to find out what your own account actually permits, which is usually less than people assume.

  1. Open your broker app and pick a large company you follow. Try to place a sell order in it using the delivery or CNC product, without owning it. Do not confirm. Read the warning or the rejection message.
  2. Now switch the product to intraday or MIS and look at the margin required for the same sell order. Compare that to the full value of the position. That ratio is your leverage, and on a short it is also the size of your exposure to a move against you.
  3. Find your broker's auto square-off time for intraday positions. Write it down. That is your deadline.
  4. In India, open the NSE's Securities Lending and Borrowing page and check whether the stock is eligible, and what the borrowing rates look like.
  1. In the United States, open the stock's page on your broker's platform and find the borrow rate, sometimes shown as "hard to borrow" or with an annual percentage. Compare a large company against a small heavily shorted one.

What you should see. In step 1, most Indian brokers will not let you sell a delivery product you do not own. That rejection is the article in 1 screen.

In step 2, the margin for an intraday short is a fraction of the position value. That is leverage, and on a short it means a move of a few percent against you consumes a large share of your capital.

In step 5, the difference between borrow rates is the most instructive number. A large company may cost almost nothing to borrow. A small heavily shorted one can cost a very large annual rate, so the position loses money every day even if the price does not move.

Three real cases

1. GameStop, January 2021 (United States)the squeeze, in public A heavily shorted company rose extraordinarily over several weeks. Melvin Capital, a fund with a large short position, reported losses of roughly 53% in January 2021 and received a capital injection of $2.75 billion from Citadel and Point72. Several brokers restricted buying in the affected shares on 28 January 2021. The company's business had not changed. The position had.

2. Robinhood's buying restriction, 28 January 2021 (United States)your broker is a participant, not a spectator Robinhood restricted buying in a small set of shares. Its chief executive later described a clearing house collateral demand of approximately $3 billion in the early morning, reduced after the restrictions were applied. For a short seller the lesson is direct. In a squeeze, the ability to transact is not guaranteed, and the constraint may come from your broker's balance sheet rather than from the market.

3. Volkswagen, 26 to 28 October 2008 (Germany)the mechanics, at their most extreme After Porsche disclosed the true extent of its holdings and options over Volkswagen shares, the free float available for short sellers to buy back proved far smaller than the short interest. The share price rose several-fold within 2 days, and Volkswagen was briefly the most valuable listed company in the world by market capitalisation. Nothing about the car business had changed. The arithmetic of who owned the shares had.

The question that resolves it

A novice asks: is this company overvalued?

An expert asks: who owns the shares, what does it cost to borrow them, and how long can I stay in this position?

The first question can be right and still lose you everything. The second set determines whether being right will pay.

What would make this wrong

If short selling were simply a bet on a falling price, then a correct view would reliably produce a profit. It does not. Short sellers have been right about companies that were later proven fraudulent and have still lost money, because the timing and the borrow cost defeated them.

Two honest limits. Short selling has a genuine function. Short sellers have exposed real accounting fraud, and markets without them absorb bad news more slowly. Treating short sellers as villains is not analysis.

And the risk described here is a plain directional short. A short used as 1 leg of a hedge has a completely different risk profile. Do not carry these warnings across to a structure they do not describe.

In India

The framework is set by SEBI and the exchanges. Short selling is permitted for all categories of investor. Naked short selling is prohibited. Every seller must honour the delivery obligation at settlement.

That prohibition is what shapes the retail experience.

  • Intraday shorting in the cash market is permitted. You sell and buy back the same day, so no delivery obligation arises. Your broker squares off the position if you do not.
  • Carrying a cash-market short overnight requires you to be able to deliver. In practice that means borrowing the shares through Securities Lending and Borrowing. Without it, the sale fails at settlement and goes to auction, with the cost falling on you.
  • Securities Lending and Borrowing is a formal, exchange-cleared market, open to all investor categories, settled through the clearing corporation, with borrowers posting collateral. The practical constraint is availability: not every stock is eligible, liquidity is concentrated, and not every retail broker offers access.
  • Institutional investors may not day trade. They must deliver, and their transactions are settled gross. This is the reverse of the retail position and it is a genuine oddity of the Indian framework.
  • Disclosure. A short sale must be flagged, either upfront at order entry or by the end of the trading day. Brokers report to the exchanges, which publish the aggregate data.

The alternative for a retail investor with a negative view is the derivatives market, where futures and options can be held overnight. That belongs to a later cluster.

In the United States

Short selling is a standard retail facility, available in a margin account, and positions can be held overnight for as long as the borrow lasts.

Regulation SHO governs it.

  • Rule 203, the locate requirement. Before accepting a short sale order, the broker must have borrowed the security, arranged to borrow it, or have reasonable grounds to believe it can be borrowed.
  • Rule 204, close-out. A participant with a failure to deliver must close it out within a defined period.
  • Threshold securities. Securities with persistent fails to deliver are published on a list, with stricter close-out requirements.
  • Rule 201, the alternative uptick rule. If a stock falls 10% or more from the previous close, short selling in it is restricted for the rest of that day and the next, permitted only at a price above the best bid.

The economics. You pay a borrow fee, quoted as an annual rate and charged daily. Easy-to-borrow shares cost very little. Hard-to-borrow shares can cost an enormous annual rate. You also owe the lender any dividend paid while you are short, which is called a substitute payment and is taxed differently.

Short interest is published, and days-to-cover — short interest divided by average daily volume — measures how crowded a short is.

Where they differ, and what that tells you

The difference is not whether shorting is allowed. It is allowed in both. The difference is how long a retail investor can hold the position, and therefore what kind of idea can be expressed.

In the United States, a retail investor can hold a short for months. That means a thesis about a business — an accounting concern, a failing product line — can be expressed directly, paying a borrow fee, and given time to be proven.

In India, retail shorting in the cash market is effectively a same-day activity unless you can borrow, and borrowing is not widely available to retail clients. That means a negative view on an Indian company cannot easily be expressed as a cash-market short at all. It has to go through derivatives, which changes the instrument, the leverage and the expiry.

What that tells you is where the risk moves to.

An American short seller's main enemy is time and cost. The position can be held, so the question is whether you can afford to hold it long enough.

An Indian short seller's main enemy is the deadline. The position closes today whether or not the thesis has played out, so the question is not whether you are right about the company but whether you are right about this afternoon.

Those are different skills. Conflating them is how an Indian trader turns a US short seller's 6-month thesis into an intraday position that gets squared off the same afternoon. The idea does not survive the translation.

Carry this

  • A long position has a floor. A short position does not.
  • Every short has a deadline. Find yours before you open one.
  • The borrow fee tells you how crowded the trade already is.

Knowledge check

Q. Two traders form the same view: a company's accounts look wrong and the share should fall over the next 6 months.

  • Trader A, in the United States, borrows the shares and holds a short position, paying a borrow fee.
  • Trader B, in India, shorts the same kind of company in the cash market with an intraday product.

Six months later the share has fallen 40%, exactly as both expected. Who made money?

Explanation. The 2 traders did not take the same position. They took the same opinion and expressed it in 2 instruments that share a name and nothing else.

A took a position that could hold the view. The cost was the borrow fee and the risk of margin calls during any rally along the way. If both were survivable, A was paid for being right.

B took a position with a deadline of a few hours. B's outcome was decided by what the price did before the square-off time, which has almost no relationship to what the accounts looked like.

The first option is the tempting one, and it is a trap people fall into constantly: assuming that being right about a company is the same as being paid. The instrument decides whether a view can pay, and the instrument was different.